Will UNC Make March Madness 2025? Odds of Tar Heels’ Men’s Basketball Making The NCAA Tournament

Fact Checked by Jim Tomlin

It has been a rocky start to head coach Hubert Davis’ fourth season at North Carolina basketball head coach. The Tar Heels are 11-6, but they have won four of their first five ACC contests, including three straight victories against Notre Dame, SMU and North Carolina State.

Right now, oddsmakers from DraftKings NC Sportsbook have UNC as their No. 4 team to win the ACC, at +2500, behind Duke (-900), Clemson (+1200) and Louisville (+2000). SMU and Pitt check in at +8000 apiece as we grind our way toward March Madness.

Speaking of the sport’s biggest event, BetCarolina.com compiled some hypothetical odds for UNC’s current odds of making the field of 68 in 2025, as Davis looks to reach the Big Dance for the third time in four years as the head coach of the Tar Heels.

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Will UNC Make March Madness 2025?

 

Percentage Chance

Odds

Yes

69.2%

-225

No

30.8%

+225

This analysis is only found at BetCarolina.com, where NC sportsbook promo codes are available all year round.

As of Tuesday morning, stats wiz Ken Pomeroy has UNC ranked 29th in his latest update, while ESPN’s Joe Lunardi has the Heels as a 10th seed in the East region, squaring off against seventh seed Georgia in the Round of 64. Davis and company welcome the Bay Area schools and ACC newcomers to the “Dean Dome,” hosting California in Chapel Hill on Wednesday and Stanford on Saturday.

Will UNC Make NCAA Tournament?

We’re going with Davis and his staff to do just enough to make the field as part of our North Carolina sports betting analysis. We give UNC -225 odds (or a 69.2% shot) of making the bracket in 2025. Last season, the Heels made the Sweet 16 before losing to Alabama to cap a 29-8 campaign.

As for the odds that UNC misses out on the tournament entirely, right now we’re giving the Heels +225 odds (or a 30.8% implied probability) of missing the Big Dance this spring. The Tar Heels are No. 35 in the NET ratings at stats.ncaa.org as of Tuesday.

UNC closes out January with road games Jan. 21 at Wake Forest and Jan. 28 at Pittsburgh, sandwiching a home clash against Boston College on Jan. 25.

That sets the stage for February, when March Madness dreams are made or broken in earnest. That month features a short trip to eternal rival Duke on Feb. 1 in Durham; check out our Duke-UNC basketball odds as that game gets closer and betting lines become available.

For now, the Heels will look to build on their recent, three-game winning streak when the 8-8 Golden Bears come to Chapel Hill on Wednesday night, with UNC having a shot at moving to 5-1 in ACC play with a victory over Cal in their first matchup as conference foes.

For all the latest on Tar Heels basketball and betting on the team in Carolina Blue, find BetCarolina.com’s insights with our UNC basketball odds guide.

USA Today photo by Bob Donnan

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Author

Christopher Boan

Christopher Boan is a lead writer at BetCarolina.com specializing in covering state issues. He has covered sports and sports betting in Arizona for more than seven years, including stops at ArizonaSports.com, the Tucson Weekly and the Green Valley News.

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