Key Takeaways:
- 🥇 UNC QB Drake Maye draft odds to be the No. 1 pick are at a consensus of around +15000.
- 🏆 Maye has a 94.74% chance of being a Top 5 pick, per FanDuel.
- 🐻 The Bears hold the No. 1 overall pick in tonight's 2024 NFL Draft.
UNC's Drake Maye is one of the top QB prospects to come out of the ACC since Trevor Lawrence. Could Maye join Lawrence and FSU's Jameis Winston as recent ACC quarterbacks taken with the first pick?
The 2024 NFL draft projections say that it's very possible. Maye is well positioned to be the first pick in the upcoming 2024 NFL Draft, throwing for 3,608 yards and 24 touchdowns this season.
It remains to be seen whether Maye has the magic that makes for a franchise QB.
What are Drake Maye’s NFL Draft Odds in 2024?
Drake Maye's NFL Draft odds vary among North Carolina sportsbooks:
| 🔥 Odds to be Top 5 Pick (FanDuel) | -1800 |
| 🥇 FanDuel No. 1 Pick Odds | +15000 |
| 🥇 BetMGM No. 1 Pick Odds | +3500 |
| 🥈 FanDuel No. 2 Pick Odds | +600 |
| 🥈 Caesars No. 2 Pick Odds | +110 |
| 🥈 BetMGM No. 2 Pick Odds | +110 |
| 🥉 FanDuel No. 3 Pick Odds | -380 |
| 🥉 BetMGM No. 3 Pick Odds | +115 |
| 4️⃣ FanDuel No. 4 Pick Odds | +650 |
| 4️⃣ BetMGM No. 4 Pick Odds | +800 |
| 5️⃣ FanDuel No. 5 Pick Odds | +1600 |
| 5️⃣ BetMGM No. 5 Pick Odds | +1600 |
| 6️⃣ FanDuel No. 6 Pick Odds | +2200 |
| 6️⃣ BetMGM No. 6 Pick Odds | +2500 |
| ✅ Last Verified: | November 19, 2024 |
Former USC QB Caleb Williams, the 2022 Heisman Trophy winner, is the NFL betting odds-on favorite to be the first overall pick.
What are Drake Maye’s Odds of being Drafted No. 1?
Drake Maye's odds of being drafted No. 1 currently range between +3500 to +4000, depending on the sportsbook. Maye, Caleb Williams and Jayden Daniels are the main contenders for the top spot in the 2024 NFL Draft.
Drake Maye Draft Odds to Go No. 1 Overall vs. the Field
These are the top 5 candidates to be the No. 1 overall pick in the 2024 Draft, according to FanDuel North Carolina odds:
| 🥇 Caleb Williams | -8000 |
| 🔻 Jayden Daniels | +3000 |
| 🔻 Drake Maye | +4000 |
| 🔻 Marvin Harrison Jr. | +8000 |
| 🔺 J.J. McCarthy | +8000 |
| ✅ Last Verified: | November 19, 2024 |
Favorites to Be First Pick in 2024 NFL Draft
2022 Heisman Trophy winner Caleb Williams is going to be tough to unseat as the top prospect in the 2024 NFL Draft. Not only is Williams a tremendous pocket passer, he has the speed that teams look for in the modern draft.
Many draft analysts are currently debating which quarterback should be the higher pick: North Carolina QB Drake Maye or 2023 Heisman winner Jayden Daniels. Daniels threw for 40 touchdowns last season and has five years of college football on his resume.
Maye has developed into one of the best quarterback prospects in the Draft. As a rookie in 2022, Maye was the second player in history to win ACC Player of the Year, ACC Offensive Player of the Year, ACC Offensive Rookie of the Year and ACC Rookie of the Year.
Marvin Harrison Jr. caught 14 touchdowns for Ohio State this season and is seen as the best non-QB prospect in the 2024 NFL Draft. He currently has the shortest odds to be the first non-QB selected in the draft. Most bets (36%) at BetMGM NC are on Harrison to be the first pick.
Latest Updates Impacting Drake Maye NFL Draft Odds November 2024
Several teams, some of which could be potential Drake Maye landing spots, have parted ways with their head coaches and key decision makers. These moves could very well affect those teams' decisions to draft a QB.
Here are the latest transactions and NFL Draft reports:
- 📅 Apr. 27-29, 2024: The 2014 NFL Draft will be held in Detroit, MI.
- 📅 April 4, 2024: The Commanders will host QB Jayden Daniels for a pre-draft visit, per The Athletic. Bleacher Report insider Jordan Shultz reports that the Vikings flew out their entire staff for a private workout with Michael Penix Jr.
- 📅 April 2-3, 2024: Williams meets with the Bears in Chicago.
- 📅 March 28, 2024: Maye throws for NFL scouts at UNC's pro day.
- 📅 March 20, 2024: ESPN's Albert Breer reports that the Giants brought in Maye for a team visit.
- 📅 March 16, 2024: The Bears trade QB Justin Fields to the Steelers, all but guaranteeing Chicago is drafting a new quarterback.
- 📅 March 15, 2024: The Steelers sign QB Russell Wilson to a one-year deal, meaning Pittsburgh is likely out of the running to draft a new quarterback.
- 📅 March 13, 2024: Former Vikings QB Kirk Cousins signs a four-year deal with the Falcons, opening up Minnesota as a possible landing spot for Maye.
- 📅 March 4, 2024: The Vikings and Commanders are reportedly very interested in Maye.
- 📅 Feb. 27, 2024: Maye is only planning to do physicals and interviews (no on-field drills) as the NFL Scouting Combine begins in Indianapolis.
- 📅 Feb. 26, 2024: Maye speaks about potentially playing for the Patriots, calling New England "a great spot."
- 📅 Feb. 25, 2024: Maye goes viral with an 80-yard practice throw that hit the crossbar of the goalposts.
- 📅 Feb. 13, 2024: Maye is officially invited to the Scouting Combine, along with Williams, Jayden Daniels, Bo Nix, Michael Penix Jr.,and J.J. McCarthy.
- 📅 Feb. 8, 2024: Maye reveals he's been prepping for the NFL Draft with Giants legend Eli Manning.
- 📅 Jan. 15, 2024: USC QB Caleb Williams declares for the NFL Draft.
- 📅 Jan. 11, 2024: Maye is granted special eligibility for the 2024 NFL Draft from the league. Ohio State WR Marvin Harrison Jr. declares for the 2024 NFL Draft.
- 📅 Dec. 11, 2023: Maye announces he's leaving UNC to enter the 2024 NFL Draft.
- 📅 Nov 8, 2023: Maye starts play as the second betting option for the first pick overall.
- 📅 Oct. 28, 2023: UNC football odds to win the National Championship game move to +100000 following a 42-46 loss to Georgia Tech.
Drake Maye NFL Draft Projection: Potential Landing Spots
According to Jared Kimble of BetCarolina.com, the NFL draft rumor mill is on to something. The most likely landing spots for Maye are either the Commanders or the New England Patriots.
The Patriots (4-13) have the No. 3 pick in the draft and will have a new coach at the helm for the first time in 25 years. The Pats in mid-March gave up on the QB they had been counting on, Mac Jones, a first-round selection in 2021, by shipping him in a trade to Jacksonville. And next-man-up Bailey Zappe hasn’t shown himself to be anything other than a backup, along with journeyman Jacoby Brissett.
The Commanders (4-13) have the No. 2 pick in the draft and are now led by new GM Adam Peters and coach Dan Quinn, who spent the past few years running the rival Dallas Cowboys' defense.
One of the new regime's first orders of business was creating a fresh start at the quarterback position. That meant trading last year's starter Sam Howell to the Seahawks and bringing in veteran Marcus Mariota on a one-year deal. Mariota could be the ideal mentor to a rookie like Maye.
| 🏈 Patriots | +150 |
| 🏈 Commanders | +275 |
| 🏈 Vikings | +500 |
| 🏈 Broncos | +1500 |
| 🏈 Giants | +2500 |
| 🏈 Raiders | +2500 |
| 🏈 Other Team | +4000 |
| ✅ Last Verified | November 19, 2024 |
After New England and Washington, Kimble speculates the next most likely teams for Maye are the Vikings, Broncos, Giants and Raiders.
The broad category of “any other team” is given a 2.4% chance of drafting Maye with odds of +4000.
Most mock drafts have Maye going to the Commanders, Giants, Patriots, or Vikings, which would be anywhere from the No. 2 pick to the No. 11 pick.
Which Team has the First Pick in the 2024 NFL Draft?
The Chicago Bears hold the first pick in the 2024 NFL Draft by virtue of their trade with the Carolina Panthers last offseason.
Finalized NFL Draft Order
The first round of 2024 NFL Draft picks are locked in:
- ✅ Bears (via Panthers)
- ✅ Commanders
- ✅ Patriots
- ✅ Cardinals
- ✅ Chargers
- ✅ Giants
- ✅ Titans
- ✅ Falcons
- ✅ Bears
- ✅ Jets
- ✅ Vikings
- ✅ Broncos
- ✅ Raiders
- ✅ Saints
- ✅ Colts
- ✅ Seahawks
- ✅ Jaguars
- ✅ Bengals
- ✅ Rams
- ✅ Steelers
- ✅ Dolphins
- ✅ Eagles
- ✅ Texans (via Browns)
- ✅ Cowboys
- ✅ Packers
- ✅ Buccaneers
- ✅ Cardinals (via Texans)
- ✅ Bills
- ✅ Lions
- ✅ Ravens
- ✅ 49ers
- ✅ Chiefs
Drake Maye Draft Stats for 2024
Drake Maye has all the measurables of an NFL quarterback. He’s 6 feet4, 230 pounds, runs the 40-yard dash in 4.65 seconds, and throws a strong long ball. His win-loss record as a starter is 17-9.
He did not disappoint in 2023, ranking 15th among all college QBs in ESPN QBR (79.3). In 2023, he completed 63.3% of his passes for 3,608 and 24 touchdowns, while only throwing 9 interceptions. He also rushed for 449 yards and 9 touchdowns.
Maye opted not to play in UNC's bowl game this winter.
His 2022 stats were equally impressive: 4,321 passing yards, 38 touchdowns, seven interceptions, and seven rushing TDs.
Drake Maye's family is one filled with North Carolina athletes, with his dad playing QB for UNC in the 1980s and his brothers playing basketball at UNC.
🎁 MORE: NC Sports Betting Bonus
Has Drake Maye Declared for the 2024 Draft?
Yes. Drake Maye declared for the NFL draft on Monday, Dec. 11, 2023, announcing that he will forgo his remaining college eligibility.
What Year is Drake Maye?
QB Drake Maye was a redshirt sophomore before declaring for the draft.
Where Can I Bet on Drake Maye NFL Draft Odds?
Bettors looking to wager on Drake Maye's NFL Draft odds can do so at any of the recently launched North Carolina betting apps as well as the three tribal NC casinos:
- 📍 Harrah’s Cherokee Casino Resort with Caesars Sportsbook in Cherokee, NC
- 📍 Harrah’s Cherokee Valley River Casino with Caesars Sportsbook in Murphy, NC
- 📍 Catawba Two Kings Casino in Kings Mountain, NC
Past No. 1 NFL Draft Picks Since 2010
All but four No. 1 picks since 2010 have been quarterbacks, which bodes well for Drake Maye draft odds:
| Yr. | Player | College | Team |
|---|---|---|---|
| '23 | QB Bryce Young | Alabama | CAR |
| '22 | DE Travon Walker | Georgia | JAX |
| '21 | QB Trevor Lawrence | Clemson | JAX |
| '20 | QB Joe Burrow | LSU | CIN |
| '19 | QB Kyler Murray | Okla. | ARI |
| '18 | QB Baker Mayfield | Okla. | CLE |
| '17 | DE Myles Garrett | Texas A&M | CLE |
| '16 | QB Jared Goff | Cal | LAR |
| '15 | QB Jameis Winston | Fla. State | TB |
| '14 | DE Jadeveon Clowney | S. Carolina | HOU |
| '13 | OT Eric Fisher | C. Michigan | KC |
| '12 | QB Andrew Luck | Stanford | IND |
| '11 | QB Cam Newton | Auburn | CAR |
| '10 | QB Sam Bradford | Okla. | LAR |
Drake Maye Odds FAQs
Author
Shannon Lane is a commercial editor and fact-checker for BetCarolina. She's spent the last decade working in sports media, including at NFL Media and as a reporter/fact-checker at Sports Illustrated. She covers everything NFL football to give North Carolina sports betters the best information on the Panthers and other NFL teams.
