What NFL Draft Pick Do Teams Get A Year After 3-11 Start?

Fact Checked by Jim Tomlin

Another lost year in a constellation full of them for the Carolina Panthers, and anybody still wagering on them for North Carolina sports betting, took another blow on Sunday.

The NFC South squad fell at home to the woebegone Dallas Cowboys, 30-14. The latest defeat for head coach Dave Canales and company saw Carolina fall behind 10-7 at halftime before imploding for good in the third quarter against Dallas (6-8).

Sadly, for the Panthers (3-11), there is a glut of bad football teams at the bottom of the NFL. Seven teams have either two or three wins, pending Monday night’s game where the 2-11 Las Vegas Raiders face the Atlanta Falcons.

At BetCarolina.com, where the top NC sportsbook promo codes reside, we used The Football Database to see which draft pick position teams get after starting 3-11 since the 2019 NFL season. We only calculated the first selection positions for each team, finding the average and median spots.

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Where Do NFL Teams Draft A Year After A 3-11 Start?

Outcome

Draft Position

Average

4

Median

4

Where Will Panthers Pick in 2025?

The NFC South has been so mediocre that the Panthers were only eliminated from playoff contention with Sunday’s defeat.

Carolina’s currently in line to land the fifth pick in the 2025 NFL Draft, according to Pro Football Focus, landing behind the New York Giants, Raiders, New England Patriots and Jacksonville Jaguars leaguewide.

The bet365 NC Sportsbook has odds on which team will select first in the 2025 NFL Draft. The Giants have +150 odds as of Dec. 16, but again that’s before the Raiders (+350) play their 14th game tonight.

Over the past few years, teams that started the year by losing 11 of 14 grabbed the fourth pick as both the average and median, which falls in line with the projections from PFF.

What we know now is that Carolina is listed as a 4-point home underdog against the 7-7 Arizona Cardinals on Sunday afternoon, with a +175 moneyline on the 3-11 home side, compared with -210 odds on the visitors from the Grand Canyon State at North Carolina sportsbook apps.

Based on how Carolina played on Sunday against Dallas, it might take nothing shy of a gridiron miracle for the Panthers to pull out the club’s fourth victory of the NFL season this weekend.

USA Today photo by Bob Donnan

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Author

Christopher Boan

Christopher Boan is a lead writer at BetCarolina.com specializing in covering state issues. He has covered sports and sports betting in Arizona for more than seven years, including stops at ArizonaSports.com, the Tucson Weekly and the Green Valley News.

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